Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.186144 0.215830 0.248733 0.287914 0.333311 0.384273 0.445856
2025-06-22 0.134655 0.172939 0.219870 0.281662 0.360958 0.459421 0.591178
2025-06-29 0.108472 0.149424 0.203213 0.279098 0.383562 0.522587 0.722169
2025-07-06 0.092131 0.134381 0.193092 0.280726 0.408491 0.588446 0.862101
2025-07-13 0.083369 0.127784 0.192592 0.294184 0.449873 0.680237 1.048549
2025-07-20 0.075516 0.120992 0.190309 0.303839 0.485764 0.767093 1.237553
2025-07-27 0.068950 0.115032 0.188126 0.312733 0.520719 0.855587 1.439076
2025-08-03 0.062235 0.107782 0.182735 0.315332 0.545164 0.929277 1.624540
2025-08-10 0.055443 0.099425 0.174331 0.311507 0.557800 0.984032 1.783486
2025-08-17 0.048657 0.090161 0.163163 0.301271 0.557592 1.015973 1.905029
2025-08-24 0.045363 0.086724 0.161752 0.308165 0.588643 1.106194 2.142707
2025-08-31 0.041684 0.082093 0.157570 0.309273 0.608769 1.178143 2.353776
2025-09-07 0.038845 0.078813 0.155687 0.314843 0.638688 1.273052 2.623631
2025-09-14 0.034895 0.072868 0.148008 0.308104 0.643538 1.319945 2.803484
2025-09-21 0.031842 0.068362 0.142629 0.305295 0.655864 1.382824 3.023585
2025-09-28 0.029576 0.065221 0.139647 0.307077 0.677886 1.467884 3.301072
2025-10-05 0.028681 0.064919 0.142553 0.321807 0.729497 1.621267 3.747372
2025-10-12 0.027483 0.063794 0.143544 0.332375 0.773028 1.761783 4.181661
2025-10-19 0.026303 0.062567 0.144153 0.342109 0.815727 1.905078 4.639842
2025-10-26 0.024718 0.060205 0.141927 0.344954 0.842586 2.014930 5.031503
2025-11-02 0.022808 0.056840 0.137001 0.340767 0.852039 2.084829 5.333691
2025-11-09 0.020648 0.052610 0.129562 0.329563 0.842913 2.108916 5.523617
2025-11-16 0.019782 0.051525 0.129620 0.337109 0.881792 2.255391 6.046502